Analysis

Should-cost

A bottom-up EUR per km carrier cost floor, assembled from the country cost envelopes and the latest observed pump diesel. Every input is editable and every default carries its source and as-of date. The floor is a model: it is drawn as an open orange marker and never as an observed price.

Modelled

Scopes every input belowCost envelope as of 2026-07-01

Build-up inputs

Diesel pump priceEUR/lDefault: observed DE pump price, 2026-07ConsumptionL/kmDefault 0.29 L/km, assumedDriver salary and chargesEUR/kmLow of 0.48–0.55Vehicle lease or depreciationEUR/kmLow of 0.20–0.26Maintenance and tyresEUR/kmLow of 0.12–0.15InsuranceEUR/kmLow of 0.07–0.10Overhead admin IT complianceEUR/kmLow of 0.12–0.16Tolls route-weightedEUR/kmLow of 0.20–0.28Target margin%Carrier margin on cash cost

Cost floor

Modelled

Fuel (2.072 EUR/l × 0.29 L/km)	0.601
Driver salary and charges	0.480
Vehicle lease or depreciation	0.200
Maintenance and tyres	0.120
Insurance	0.070
Overhead admin IT compliance	0.120
Tolls route-weighted	0.200
Cash cost	1.791
Margin at 5.0%	0.090
Should-cost floor	1.880 EUR/km

Published DE walk-away threshold: 1.55 – 1.60 EUR/km, as of 2026-07-01. A floor materially below that range means an input has been set optimistically.

Assumptions that are not observed

Consumption at 0.29 L/km is an assumption, not a measurement.
The pump price default is observed monthly mean of the weekly survey; any value you type over it becomes an assumption and the floor stays modelled either way.
Toll is a route-weighted country average. A single lane with an unusual road mix will differ, and this is the input to change first.

Scopes the benchmark belowObserved road lane

Floor against the observed lane benchmark

Pick one of the observed road lanes above. Only lanes in the capture can be scored — there is no free-text lane entry anywhere in this product.